Why the Israeli Startup Ecosystem Will Emerge from the COVID-19 Crisis Stronger Than Ever
The shock has passed. We are evaluating and making deals remotely, and a COVID vaccine seems to be just around the corner. That obviously makes me think a lot about the trends we’ve been seeing during the pandemic and how the tech ecosystem has evolved.
When the pandemic first arrived, many seasoned investors tried to predict how the tech world would react to the crisis based on their past experience: Some said the valuation of startups would decrease, and that investors would deploy less capital due to the uncertainty. Surprisingly, the opposite occurred, and some will argue it was one of the best years for the global tech industry due to the acceleration of digital transformation in enterprises.
I get many questions about investments in startups in light of the post- COVID world, and which of the trends will be here to stay and which will pass. In this short blog post, I’ll share the main trends I’ve been seeing that are redefining the way we invest, and some forecasts on how the Israeli investment landscape will look once the worst of the pandemic is behind us.
Painkillers, not vitamins
At Fort Ross Ventures, we always look to back startups that solve a real problem and not a “nice to have” product or service. COVID even took that one step further; we believe the crisis accelerated the adoption of some technologies which experienced hyper growth during the crisis, but at the same time, there’s a big question mark around whether these companies can continue their growth in the post-COVID world.
That’s why the question that guides us in our day-to-day work is more relevant than ever: ”Do we believe this startup is solving a real problem?” On top of that, we add another question which is super critical, asking whether the company’s growth is temporary or part of some larger trend that’s being accelerated.
Obviously, we’re seeking investments in those that are part of a larger trend that will continue their same growth trajectory even when global conditions have returned to a semblance of normalcy.
The good news is that we are seeing more and more Israeli startups that are trying to solve big problems related to larger trends rather than developing niche products / features for quick and small acquisitions.
The Israeli ecosystem has matured a decade during COVID
We can say a lot about 2020 and how COVID has caused economic downturns, but what will also be remembered is the record-breaking number of startups that reached unicorn status during the year. In 2020 alone, Israel has produced 15 new unicorns, one of the highest numbers of unicorns of any country.
(Just for the sake of comparison: Israel had 15, the US 35, the UK 5, and China 5.)
There are more than 40 private Israeli companies that raised more than $100M, are generating more than $20M in revenue, and are positioned well for going public or mega acquisitions. I believe 2020 has marked a new era in the maturity of the Israeli ecosystem and the increasing trend in Israeli companies going public, something that we will probably see next year in a much higher volume.
The strong startups are getting stronger
As I discussed in the previous section, the Israeli ecosystem has matured significantly. The result of that is a quite large group of “second timers”: entrepreneurs who sold their first company to Microsoft, Cisco, IBM and others, and execs/first employees in successful unicorns who left to start their own companies. This group has been attracting many investors and capital, and has brought valuations to new highs.
In contrast to those, many startups that don’t share the same pedigree of founders, or startups at the series A/B stage with nice growth but a smaller vision — and not part of a trend specifically accelerated by COVID — will find it difficult to raise capital. This situation will widen the already broad gap between the top-tier startups and the rest, and will cause some miscorrelation in terms of acceptable traction which investors would like to see at a certain stage vs the round being raised.
As part of the above trend, I believe we will see huge rounds and preemptive deals more often for those who are second-timers, whereas the rest will need to invest more time in building relationships with potential investors prior to starting the fundraising process in order to successfully raise follow-on capital.
More working out of Israel
A question that I get a lot is around Israeli startups relocating to the US. As investors, we usually expect startups to relocate to the US pretty early on to be close to their customers, as many Israeli startups target the US as their main market. The pandemic has created a situation where companies have to sell their product/service remotely, and as a result of that, physical location has become less important/relevant.
In the short term, I believe more Israeli founders will remain and work out of Israel. In the long run, there’s a high probability that founders who can keep the same sales efficiency remotely will continue to work out of Israel, especially when taking into account the advantages (e.g., lower cost of living compared to other places like NYC or San Francisco).
While Israel is well-known for its technology talent, and Israeli startups usually hire Israeli technological execs (CTO, VP R&D, etc.), having more management teams working out of Israel will lead to hiring also more business execs based in Israel, especially in enterprise sales, at both junior and senior levels. In the long run, I believe this trend will create a new group of world-class business leaders with experience in building a strong GTM out of Israel.
Just the start of an Israeli tech boom
While being the most devastating year in recent history for people worldwide, 2020 was also one of the most successful years for the Israeli tech ecosystem and the public market for tech. I believe 2021 will be a year to remember for the Israeli tech industry, and what we experienced in 2020 will only be the beginning of the tech boom.
The bar will be set higher, and the quality of the Israeli companies and founders/execs will increase. We have probably just entered the best time to be in the tech industry, from both sides of the table — founders and investors.
The blog post was published by Calcalist — https://www.calcalistech.com/ctech/articles/0,7340,L-3886346,00.html
We at Fort Ross Ventures, invest in mid and growth stage startups. We believe in transparency and being a friendly and helpful firm for our portfolio companies and startups in general. If you have you have questions about our fund, reach out to me at email@example.com or visit our website https://www.fortross.vc